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Perspectivas semanales | Posible riesgo en ciernes

La semana pasada, los mercados financieros no ofrecieron un impulso significativo en general. El dólar estadounidense logró ganar algo de fuerza, lo que aparentemente provocó que los mercados bursátiles se mantuvieran en un patrón lateral. Tras una subida inicial a niveles más altos, el S&P 500 y el Nasdaq cerraron en territorio neutral. Sin embargo, cabe destacar que los mercados de criptomonedas siguen mostrando una gran fortaleza. El bitcoin no se atrevió a probar la zona de los 119 000 dólares, mientras que el ETH también superó los 3000 dólares. En conjunto, se trata de una señal positiva de que la temporada de las altcoins podría seguir impulsando los precios al alza por ahora.

Eventos importantes de esta semana:

– CA – datos sobre los precios al consumo– Se prevé que los precios al consumo en Canadá bajen. Se espera que la tasa mensual caiga del 0,6 % al 0,2 %. De hecho, la caída de las cifras podría provocar un debilitamiento del dólar canadiense y una prolongación de la tendencia reciente. En particular, el euro, actualmente más fuerte, podría cobrar impulso al final.

EURCAD gráfico mensual

El gráfico mensual anterior muestra que el par de divisas ha roto la importante zona de resistencia de 1,5800 y ahora cotiza justo por debajo de la zona psicológica de 1,6000. Si esta zona cede, el mercado podría mostrar más fuerza. Por otro lado, también podrían producirse caídas de los precios, dada la zona de resistencia potencialmente fuerte. Por lo tanto, un aumento repentino de los precios al consumo podría suponer un impulso sorpresa a la baja, debido a la fortaleza del CAD. Los datos se publicarán el martes 15 de julio a las 14:30 CET.

– Índice de precios al productor de EE. UU.- se espera que la tasa básica mensual de los precios al productor suba del 0,1 % al 0,2 %. Esto supondría un aumento muy moderado de los precios, que podría ser superado por el mercado. Por lo tanto, una tasa más alta podría hacer que el dólar volviera a cobrar impulso.

USDJPY gráfico semanal

El gráfico semanal del par USDJPY volvió a recuperar algo de impulso alcista la semana pasada. El precio sigue limitado en el patrón de cotización lateral y también podría seguir la tendencia a largo plazo hacia niveles más bajos. En esta tendencia, el reciente impulso positivo también podría seguir empujando los mercados al alza. Si se rompe la zona de 147,50, podrían verse precios más altos. Poco después, la media móvil de 50 también podría ser significativa si los precios logran romper al alza. Sin embargo, en general, mucho podría depender de los precios al productor y al consumidor de esta semana. Las cifras positivas podrían ofrecer un nuevo impulso alcista. Las noticias se darán a conocer el miércoles 16 de julio a las 14:30 CET.